Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000030 0.000034 0.000038 0.000044 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062
2024-10-06 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000044 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078
2024-10-13 0.000020 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000074 0.000094
2024-10-20 0.000017 0.000024 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000078 0.000104
2024-10-27 0.000015 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117
2024-11-03 0.000013 0.000020 0.000030 0.000044 0.000064 0.000090 0.000128
2024-11-10 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067 0.000098 0.000143
2024-11-17 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070 0.000105 0.000157
2024-11-24 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000112 0.000171
2024-12-01 0.000009 0.000016 0.000027 0.000046 0.000074 0.000116 0.000181
2024-12-08 0.000008 0.000015 0.000026 0.000045 0.000075 0.000120 0.000191
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000126 0.000204
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000047 0.000081 0.000135 0.000224
2024-12-29 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000047 0.000084 0.000142 0.000239
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000152 0.000260
2025-01-12 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000047 0.000087 0.000154 0.000268
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000048 0.000090 0.000161 0.000285
2025-01-26 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000047 0.000091 0.000165 0.000297
2025-02-02 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000048 0.000094 0.000174 0.000318
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000011 0.000023 0.000049 0.000098 0.000183 0.000338
2025-02-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000101 0.000192 0.000359
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000049 0.000101 0.000195 0.000370
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000009 0.000022 0.000048 0.000101 0.000199 0.000382